Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Pipsqueak+4 and Natus Vincere in the Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 2 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Pipsqueak+4. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Natus Vincere and Pipsqueak+4 face off in the lower bracket final of the Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs on 2 June, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The match is scheduled for 10:00 AM ET and will be contested as a best-of-three series. Currently, the Polymarket order book reflects a 50-50 implied probability, suggesting traders view this as a genuine toss-up between two evenly matched rosters.
Na'Vi remains one of Dota 2's most established organisations, with consistent roster depth and international tournament experience, though recent qualifier performances have been mixed. Pipsqueak+4, a newer or reformed stack, carries less historical data for direct comparison, making probability assessment reliant on recent scrim results, patch adaptation, and individual player form. The 50-50 split on the order book likely reflects genuine uncertainty rather than strong conviction in either direction, typical when both teams lack recent head-to-head results or clear form trajectories leading into a lower bracket elimination match.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding roster changes or player availability up to match day, as Dota 2 qualifiers occasionally see last-minute substitutions. The settlement window closes 7 days after the scheduled date, meaning any significant delay beyond 9 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent patch notes and meta shifts in the days before 2 June could also shift preparation advantages, particularly if either team has demonstrated stronger adaptation to current game state in scrims or prior matches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ewc_plus_en. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playo" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$260K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $260K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ewc_plus_en. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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