Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between Pipsqueak+4 and Team Lynx in the Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 1 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Team Lynx. This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win the match against Pipsqueak+4. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Pipsqueak+4 and Team Lynx are scheduled to contest the lower bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier for Dota 2 on 1 June at 2:00PM ET. The winner advances to the lower bracket final with a second chance at qualifying for the main event; the loser is eliminated. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at the ask side or genuine conviction that Team Lynx will prevail. Given the settlement window closes 2 June at midnight UTC, traders have roughly 24 hours post-match to settle positions.
Lower bracket semifinals in regional qualifiers typically feature teams with uneven seeding and preparation levels. Pipsqueak+4's presence in the lower bracket suggests earlier elimination from the upper bracket, whilst Team Lynx's path to this stage determines their momentum. Without recent public rankings or head-to-head records readily available, the probability formation depends heavily on whether either squad has competed in preceding Esports World Cup qualifiers or maintained rosters through recent Dota Pro League seasons.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled—delays or roster changes announced before 1 June could shift expectations materially. Traders should monitor the Esports World Cup's official channels and team social media for any withdrawal announcements, which would trigger the 50-50 tie-breaker clause. The best-of-three format means the match could conclude within 90 minutes or extend several hours, affecting settlement timing on the resolution date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bolt_ru. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$24K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $15 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bolt_ru. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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