Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between L1ga Team and Inner Circle in the Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 1 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1ga Team win the match against Inner Circle. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against L1ga Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
L1ga Team face Inner Circle in an upper bracket quarterfinal best-of-three match within the Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for 1 June at 9:00 AM ET. The winner advances through the qualifier bracket toward the main tournament stage. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for L1ga Team, reflecting either strong consensus around their favoured status or minimal trading volume establishing price discovery at the extremes.
Eastern European Dota 2 qualifiers have historically produced volatile outcomes despite seeding advantages. Teams from the CIS region frequently experience roster instability, visa complications, or scheduling conflicts that disrupt expected matchups. Previous EWC qualifiers have seen favourites withdraw or field stand-in players, shifting match dynamics substantially. A 100% probability typically indicates either overwhelming skill disparity between these squads or insufficient liquidity on the order book to establish a more granular price.
Traders should monitor official EWC communications for any roster changes, stand-in announcements, or schedule modifications in the days preceding 1 June. Recent qualifier announcements from ESL and tournament organisers have flagged potential delays in Eastern European brackets due to regional infrastructure constraints. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day, allowing approximately ten hours post-scheduled start time for completion. Any cancellation, postponement beyond seven days, or match that fails to produce a winner within that window triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure at current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$46K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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