Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ex-Zero Tenacity and Young Ninjas in the CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D, initially scheduled for May 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-Zero Tenacity" if ex-Zero Tenacity win the match against Young Ninjas. This market will resolve to "Young Ninjas" if Young Ninjas win the match against ex-Zero Tenacity. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Map Handicap: YN (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5) | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
ex-Zero Tenacity face Young Ninjas in a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter within the CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D on 14 May at 10:00 AM ET. The winner advances through the play-in stage; the loser's tournament life depends on subsequent results. The current Polymarket order book prices ex-Zero Tenacity at 39% implied probability, suggesting Young Ninjas are favoured at 61%, though this reflects early market formation with potentially limited liquidity depth at tighter spreads.
ex-Zero Tenacity's recent roster transitions and competitive standing in European Counter-Strike provide context for assessing the 39% valuation. The squad has experienced personnel changes that affect map pool consistency and mid-round execution—factors that typically correlate with play-in stage volatility. Young Ninjas, by contrast, have maintained more stable lineups through recent CCT qualifying rounds, which historically translates to tighter map veto discipline and more predictable anti-strat preparation. Teams with roster continuity in play-in stages tend to convert favoured odds at higher rates than transitional squads.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes through to the 14 May settlement window. CCT Europe scheduling occasionally experiences delays; the market's 50-50 tie-break clause activates if play extends beyond seven days without resolution. Map pool announcements and recent scrim results, if leaked through community channels, can shift the order book significantly in the hours before match start. Early fixture timing (10:00 AM ET) may also affect participation levels and liquidity depth on Polymarket's book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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