Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between WRAITH PCIFIC and Prestige in the European Pro League Regular Group D, initially scheduled for May 12 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "WRAITH PCIFIC" if WRAITH PCIFIC win the match against Prestige. This market will resolve to "Prestige" if Prestige win the match against WRAITH PCIFIC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Map Handicap: WRAITH PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Prestige (+1.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
WRAITH PCIFIC face Prestige in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the European Pro League's Regular Group D, scheduled for 12 May 2026 at 6:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 69% implied probability favouring WRAITH PCIFIC, suggesting the market perceives them as clear favourites in this fixture.
European Pro League Counter-Strike matches at this tier typically see favourites priced between 60–75% when there exists a meaningful skill differential or recent form advantage. Historical resolution patterns show that when implied probabilities cluster around 65–70%, the favoured team converts roughly 70–75% of the time, though this varies considerably based on roster stability and recent tournament performance. The 69% pricing here sits within the range where upset outcomes remain plausible but statistically less likely than the baseline expectation.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or stand-in declarations from either organisation in the week preceding the match, as personnel changes materially shift win probabilities in competitive Counter-Strike. Schedule adherence matters given the settlement window's seven-day buffer; any delay beyond 19 May without a completed result triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent EPL fixtures have generally proceeded on schedule, though technical issues or unforeseen circumstances occasionally create settlement ambiguity. Team performance in preceding EPL matches and any LAN event results immediately before 12 May will provide updated information on current form and confidence levels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/eplcs_en. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Prestige (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$11 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $11 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/eplcs_en. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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