Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Walczaki and ex-RUBY in the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 8 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win the match against ex-RUBY. This market will resolve to "ex-RUBY" if ex-RUBY win the match against Walczaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Walczaki face ex-RUBY in a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter during the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, scheduled for 8 May at 10:00 AM ET. The match represents a Round 3 fixture within the broader competitive circuit, where both teams compete for advancement and ranking points. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Walczaki, suggesting the market has priced in either a significant skill differential or information asymmetry favouring the Polish squad.
CCT Europe tournaments have historically featured volatile matchups between established rosters and reformed lineups, particularly when teams undergo roster changes mid-season. Ex-RUBY's status as a reconstituted squad introduces uncertainty around team cohesion and preparation depth compared to established competitors. Historical precedent from similar CCT fixtures shows that teams entering group stages with recent roster transitions often underperform relative to their individual player ratings, though upsets remain possible when preparation time has been adequate.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding final roster confirmations, scrim results, and any scheduling adjustments in the 48 hours preceding the match. The settlement window closes at 20:20 UTC on 8 May, providing a narrow window for resolution. Fixture cancellations or delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution, whilst forfeits by either team resolve according to the stated outcome. Current pricing at 100% suggests minimal perceived risk of disruption or ex-RUBY competitive viability, though the extreme probability warrants scrutiny of underlying information sources.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$24K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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