Trade: Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between The Last Resort and NEW VISION in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "The Last Resort" if The Last Resort win the match against NEW VISION. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win the match against The Last Resort. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- —
- Total Volume
- $304
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $132
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The Last Resort and NEW VISION are scheduled to meet in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 7 May at 2:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders perceive neither team as a clear favourite. This equilibrium pricing typically emerges when historical matchup data, recent form, and roster stability are roughly balanced between competitors, or when insufficient public information exists to differentiate expected outcomes.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a developmental league where roster volatility and inconsistent attendance records are common. Teams at this tier frequently experience lineup changes, stand-in players, or fixture postponements that can alter competitive dynamics significantly. Historical resolution patterns in regional Counter-Strike markets show that matches scheduled in lower-tier competitions carry elevated cancellation risk—the seven-day grace period built into this market's terms reflects that reality. Traders should monitor both organisations' social media and ESEA's official fixture list for any announcements regarding player availability or rescheduling.
The settlement window closes 8 May at 00:10 UTC, providing a narrow buffer beyond the scheduled match time. Key variables affecting the probability include recent LAN performances by either roster, any announced roster changes in the preceding week, and ESEA's server status on match day. Given the symmetric pricing, the market is currently pricing in substantial uncertainty around team preparation and match completion itself.
Wikipedia Context
-
Counter-Strike match-fixing scandal
The Counter-Strike match-fixing scandal was a 2014 match fixing scandal in the North American professional scene of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO). It involved a match between two teams, iBUYPOWER and NetCodeGuides.com, where questionable and unsportsmanlike performance from the team iBUYPOWER, then considered the best North American team, drew su
-
Stargate SG-1 season 10The tenth and final season of Stargate SG-1, an American-Canadian television series, began airing on July 14, 2006 on Sci Fi Channel. It concluded after 20 episodes on March 13, 2007 on Sky 1, which overtook the Sci-Fi Channel in mid-season. The series was developed by Brad Wright and Jonathan Glassner. Brad Wright, Robert C. Cooper, Joseph Mallozzi, and Pau
-
List of songs recorded by BasshunterBasshunter is a Swedish singer, record producer and DJ. He has recorded over 100 songs for five studio albums and two compilation albums. His first album, The Bassmachine, was released on 25 August 2004. He made his music available for free as internet downloads on platforms such as chat channels and gaming websites. In 2006, he signed with Extensive Music a
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$304 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: