Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SINQU and Project 91 in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "SINQU" if SINQU win the match against Project 91. This market will resolve to "Project 91" if Project 91 win the match against SINQU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
SINQU and Project 91 will compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, with the fixture originally scheduled for 4 May at 3:30PM ET. The 50-50 implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty between two teams operating at similar competitive tiers within European advanced-level Counter-Strike. Neither side carries the historical pedigree or recent form dominance that would typically skew odds decisively in either direction.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a developmental league where roster stability and preparation depth often determine outcomes more than raw mechanical skill. Historical precedent suggests that teams in this division experience notable variance in performance week-to-week, particularly in single-elimination formats where map selection and anti-stratting become critical. Recent roster changes or stand-in players can shift match dynamics substantially; Project 91's competitive history shows inconsistent results against similarly-ranked opposition, whilst SINQU's recent fixture record remains limited in public documentation.
Traders should monitor whether either team announces roster changes, player absences, or scheduling conflicts closer to the settlement window deadline of 5 May at 01:30 UTC. The seven-day cancellation clause creates a meaningful risk vector—fixture postponements in regional European leagues are not uncommon due to player availability or administrative delays. Confirmation of both teams' readiness and final map selection typically emerges 24–48 hours before match time. Any announcement regarding stand-in players or technical issues should be tracked against the current balanced market pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Project 91 (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$20 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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