Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SINQU and B8 Academy in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "SINQU" if SINQU win the match against B8 Academy. This market will resolve to "B8 Academy" if B8 Academy win the match against SINQU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
SINQU and B8 Academy are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 5 May at 1:00 PM ET. The fixture represents a lower-tier competitive encounter within the broader European CS ecosystem, where teams compete for ranking points and qualification pathways. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either an absence of liquidity at current price levels or genuine market consensus that SINQU represents the overwhelming favourite, though such extreme probabilities in esports markets often indicate sparse order book depth rather than certainty.
Historical precedent suggests that ESEA Advanced matches involving academy rosters frequently exhibit volatile outcomes relative to established tier-one squads. B8 Academy, as a developmental unit, typically faces structural disadvantages in preparation time and player experience compared to primary rosters, though academy sides have occasionally produced upset results when facing teams with internal instability or roster changes. The current probability formation on Polymarket likely reflects SINQU's perceived competitive standing, though the absence of recent head-to-head data or current roster confirmations creates information asymmetry.
Traders should monitor ESEA's official match schedule for any postponements or cancellations, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if delayed beyond seven days. Roster announcements or player availability updates from either organisation could materially shift expectations. The settlement window closes 6 May at 00:15 UTC, allowing minimal time for post-match resolution disputes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: SINQU vs B8 Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$768 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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