Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Sharks and Lynn Vision in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 3 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sharks" if Sharks win the match against Lynn Vision. This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win the match against Sharks. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Sharks and Lynn Vision will face off in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match during IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 on 3 June at 08:30 ET. The match represents a Round 3 elimination fixture at one of the year's premier global tournaments. Polymarket's order book currently prices Sharks at 51% implied probability, suggesting near-parity between the two squads in trader assessment.
Both teams qualified through regional pathways to reach this stage, though their recent form and roster stability differ materially. Lynn Vision, a Chinese organisation, has shown inconsistent results against international competition at major events, whilst Sharks (Brazilian roster) demonstrated stronger performances in preceding regional qualifiers. Historical matchups between Brazilian and Chinese sides at IEM events have favoured teams with more consistent international LAN experience, though sample sizes remain limited for direct head-to-head analysis. The current 51-49 split reflects genuine uncertainty rather than clear favouritism.
Key catalysts for traders include any last-minute roster changes or player illness announcements before the scheduled start time, which would alter preparation quality. Tournament scheduling delays—common at IEM events due to technical issues or previous matches running long—could affect team momentum and mental state. Traders should monitor official ESL Pro League channels and team social media for withdrawal announcements or schedule revisions. The settlement window closes at 18:30 ET on 3 June, allowing approximately 10 hours post-scheduled start for match completion before the seven-day delay clause triggers resolution to 50-50.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$128K in lifetime turnover and $213K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $128K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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