Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Rune Eaters and MASONIC in the CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win the match against MASONIC. This market will resolve to "MASONIC" if MASONIC win the match against Rune Eaters. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5) | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Rune Eaters and MASONIC are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 12 May at 1:00 PM ET as part of the CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B. The current order book on Polymarket prices Rune Eaters at 56% implied probability, reflecting modest favouritism. This is a qualifying fixture within the CCT's European regional structure, where both teams are competing for progression through the play-in stage.
Comparable CCT Europe fixtures involving lower-tier squads typically see tighter probability distributions than major tournament matches, as roster stability and recent form data remain sparse relative to established organisations. Rune Eaters and MASONIC occupy similar competitive tiers within the regional circuit, making historical precedent difficult to establish with precision. Teams at this level often experience roster churn and limited match frequency, which increases variance in outcome prediction. The 56% pricing suggests the market perceives a marginal edge rather than a decisive skill gap.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding roster changes, stand-ins, or withdrawal notices prior to the settlement window closing on 12 May at 23:00 UTC. The CCT has occasionally rescheduled play-in matches due to technical issues or scheduling conflicts; any delay beyond seven days without a completed result triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent CCT Europe coverage remains limited in mainstream esports media, so direct updates from the competition's official channels or participating team social accounts will be the primary information source for material developments.
Counter-Strike (CS) is a series of multiplayer tactical first-person shooter video games, in which opposing teams attempt to complete various objectives. The series began on Windows in 1999 with the release of the first game, Counter-Strike. It was initially released as a mod for Half-Life that was designed by Minh Le and Jess Cliffe before the rights to the
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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