Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between PARIVISION and Liquid in the CS Asia Championships Group B, initially scheduled for May 20 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
PARIVISION face Liquid in a best-of-one upper bracket quarterfinal at the CS Asia Championships Group B, scheduled for 20 May at 1:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices PARIVISION at 72% implied probability, reflecting market confidence in the Iranian squad. This represents a substantial favourite position for a single-map encounter where variance typically runs higher than multi-map formats.
Liquid's recent performances in Asian regional competition provide the primary historical reference point. The North American organisation has struggled to maintain consistency against top-tier Asian rosters in 2024–2025, particularly in compressed tournament schedules where preparation time is limited. PARIVISION, conversely, has demonstrated improved map pool depth and tactical cohesion in regional fixtures. Single-elimination formats amplify the importance of team form and map selection; whichever side secures their preferred veto advantage enters with structural edge.
Key variables for traders centre on roster availability and last-minute roster changes. Liquid's recent lineup adjustments have created uncertainty around player synergy, whilst PARIVISION's core five has remained stable. Tournament scheduling delays—common in Asia-based events—could shift probabilities if either team faces fatigue from preceding matches. The settlement window closes 20 May at 11:00 AM ET, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for official confirmation. Traders should monitor official CS Asia Championships communications for any fixture rescheduling or technical issues that might trigger the 50-50 tie-resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/pgl. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$18 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/pgl. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: