Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Nuclear TigeRES and Oxuji Esports in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against Oxuji Esports. This market will resolve to "Oxuji Esports" if Oxuji Esports win the match against Nuclear TigeRES. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Nuclear TigeRES and Oxuji Esports are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage on 9 May at 4:00 AM ET. The market currently reflects 0% implied probability for a Nuclear TigeRES victory on Polymarket's order book, indicating either minimal trading activity or strong consensus backing Oxuji Esports. Settlement occurs at 2:00 PM UTC on the same day, allowing a ten-hour window post-match for resolution.
The 0% probability reading warrants scrutiny given typical liquidity patterns in regional esports markets. Matches involving lesser-known Indian and Southeast Asian rosters frequently see sparse order book depth, meaning even modest backing for the underdog can shift implied odds substantially. Historical precedent from NODWIN tournaments shows group stage fixtures often feature competitive matchups between teams of similar calibre, yet extreme probabilities persist when trading volume remains low. The absence of pre-match odds from major sportsbooks compounds reliance on Polymarket's thin liquidity.
Key variables include roster confirmation closer to match time, any last-minute substitutions, and internet connectivity issues common in regional tournaments. The seven-day delay clause creates resolution ambiguity if technical problems interrupt play without determining a winner. Traders should monitor NODWIN's official announcements and team social media for lineup changes or schedule shifts. The early morning ET timing may further suppress Western trader participation, leaving pricing vulnerable to information asymmetries.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$9K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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