Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Nuclear TigeRES and Alliance in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against Nuclear TigeRES. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Nuclear TigeRES and Alliance meet in the quarterfinals of the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter scheduled for 9 May at 04:00 ET. The match determines progression to the semi-finals of this European regional competition. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders are pricing in near-certainty that the match will occur and conclude with a decisive winner rather than cancellation, postponement beyond the seven-day window, or an incomplete result.
Counter-Strike quarterfinal matches in established European series typically proceed as scheduled, with cancellations or extended delays remaining uncommon unless organisational or venue-level disruptions occur. Historical precedent from comparable European esports tournaments suggests that matches involving established rosters like these tend toward completion, though unforeseen circumstances—player illness, technical infrastructure failures, or administrative issues—have occasionally forced rescheduling in the competitive scene. The 100% probability reflects confidence in standard operational execution rather than certainty about either team's performance.
Traders should monitor official BC Game Masters communications for any schedule amendments, roster changes, or technical notifications in the days preceding 9 May. Player availability announcements or last-minute venue confirmations could shift settlement risk. The seven-day resolution window provides a buffer for rescheduling, though the tight scheduling of playoff brackets typically incentivises same-day or next-day completion to maintain tournament momentum.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Alliance (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$28K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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