Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Team Nemesis and CYBERSHOKE Esports in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against CYBERSHOKE Esports. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Esports" if CYBERSHOKE Esports win the match against Team Nemesis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Team Nemesis will face CYBERSHOKE Esports in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs Round of 16, scheduled for 8 May at 7:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to Team Nemesis victory, reflecting either extreme confidence in CYBERSHOKE or minimal liquidity at present pricing. Settlement occurs at 17:45 UTC on 8 May, with a seven-day grace period for delayed matches before resolution defaults to 50-50.
The 0% implied probability warrants scrutiny given typical volatility in regional European Counter-Strike tournaments. Team Nemesis and CYBERSHOKE occupy different tiers within the competitive landscape; historical precedent suggests that matches between established and emerging rosters often carry wider probability ranges than current pricing suggests. Upsets in BO3 formats occur with measurable frequency, particularly when roster changes or recent form divergences exist between competitors.
Key catalysts include official roster confirmations and any last-minute scheduling adjustments from BC Game Masters organisers. Traders should monitor for player availability announcements or stand-in declarations in the 48 hours preceding the match, as these frequently shift competitive balance in regional tournaments. Recent fixture announcements and bracket confirmations from the series organisers will clarify whether both teams have secured their positions without forfeit risk. Any technical issues or venue complications affecting the broader tournament schedule could trigger delays that activate the seven-day resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$105K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $93K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: