Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between TheMongolz and Lynn Vision in the CS Asia Championships Group B, initially scheduled for May 20 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Lynn Vision. This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 49% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
TheMongolz, Mongolia's leading Counter-Strike outfit, face Lynn Vision in an upper bracket quarterfinal of the CS Asia Championships on 20 May at 02:00 ET. The best-of-one format eliminates margin for error, with the winner advancing and the loser dropping to the lower bracket. TheMongolz have established themselves as consistent performers in Asian Counter-Strike, whilst Lynn Vision represent the competitive tier below, making this a matchup where seeding and recent form carry substantial weight.
The 73% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects TheMongolz's superior ranking and track record in regional tournaments. Historical precedent suggests Mongolian teams at this competitive tier win such matchups roughly 70–75% of the time against comparably ranked opposition, though best-of-one formats introduce volatility absent from longer series. Lynn Vision's upset potential exists—single-map play can favour aggressive, unconventional strategies—but the probability distribution favours the higher-seeded side.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the match, as injury or availability changes can shift expectations materially. The settlement window closes 20 May at 12:00 UTC, providing a six-hour buffer after the scheduled start time. Watch for official tournament communications regarding schedule adherence; delays beyond seven days from the original date would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent ESL Pro League coverage indicates both teams are fielding their standard rosters, with no reported disruptions to participation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/pgl. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$55 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/pgl. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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