Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Matrix and BASEMENT BOYS in the Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Matrix" if Matrix win the match against BASEMENT BOYS. This market will resolve to "BASEMENT BOYS" if BASEMENT BOYS win the match against Matrix. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: BMB (-1.5) vs Matrix (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Matrix and BASEMENT BOYS are scheduled to compete in a Counter-Strike lower bracket quarterfinal at the Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs on 10 May at 2:00PM ET. The match is a best-of-three format, with the winner advancing in the tournament bracket. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Matrix, indicating the market has priced in a decisive outcome favouring the Swedish organisation.
Lower bracket matches in tier-two Counter-Strike tournaments historically show volatile pricing when one team carries significantly stronger recent form or roster stability. Matrix has maintained a more consistent lineup through regional qualifiers, whilst BASEMENT BOYS experienced roster changes in the weeks preceding the event. The 100% probability on Polymarket's order book suggests traders have weighted these structural advantages heavily, though such extreme pricing in esports markets often reflects thin liquidity rather than certainty—typical for matches involving organisations outside the top-tier professional circuit.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability or last-minute roster adjustments through 9 May, as stand-in players or illness can materially shift match outcomes in best-of-three formats. The settlement window closes 11 May at 00:00 UTC, providing a one-day buffer beyond the scheduled match time. Any delay exceeding seven days without a completed result triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure for positions taken at current extremes. Recent tournament scheduling from ESL and BLAST has shown occasional delays in secondary bracket matches, particularly when venue or broadcast coordination issues arise.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/challengerchampionship_b. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Matrix vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/challengerchampionship_b. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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