Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between ex-KRÜ Esports and ALKA in the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-KRÜ Esports" if ex-KRÜ Esports win the match against ALKA. This market will resolve to "ALKA" if ALKA win the match against ex-KRÜ Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Map Handicap: ex-KRÜ Esports (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Ex-KRÜ Esports and ALKA will compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage on 12 May at 12:00 PM ET. The match forms part of the regional qualifying structure for the broader CCT circuit, which has become the primary pathway for South American teams seeking international exposure. Settlement occurs at 22:00 UTC on the same day, allowing a ten-hour window for match completion and result confirmation.
The 55% implied probability favouring ex-KRÜ reflects their established roster stability and prior CCT performances, though the South American competitive landscape remains volatile. ALKA's recent roster changes and limited track record in this format create uncertainty that the market has priced into the odds. Historical CCT South America matches show that seeding advantages and team continuity typically correlate with match outcomes, yet upsets occur frequently enough that underdog positions retain meaningful probability mass.
Traders should monitor official CCT scheduling announcements for any postponements, as the seven-day delay clause creates a significant settlement boundary. Roster confirmations from both organisations closer to match day could shift the order book, particularly if either team announces lineup adjustments. Technical issues during broadcast or match administration delays have occasionally affected CCT South America fixtures, making real-time monitoring of official channels essential. The current Polymarket order book reflects limited historical data on this specific matchup, meaning early price formation remains sensitive to new information.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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