Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between JiJieHao and Chinggis Warriors in the Asian Champions League Group A, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "JiJieHao" if JiJieHao win the match against Chinggis Warriors. This market will resolve to "Chinggis Warriors" if Chinggis Warriors win the match against JiJieHao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Map Handicap: JJH (-1.5) vs Chinggis Warriors (+1.5) | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
JiJieHao and Chinggis Warriors will compete in an upper bracket semifinal of the Asian Champions League Group A Counter-Strike tournament, scheduled for 11 May at 11:00PM ET. The match is a best-of-three format. Current order book activity on Polymarket prices JiJieHao at 69% implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment that the Chinese roster holds a substantial edge in this fixture.
Asian Counter-Strike tournaments have historically favoured established Chinese organisations, though Chinggis Warriors—representing Mongolia—have demonstrated competitive capability in regional play. JiJieHao's positioning at nearly 7-in-10 odds reflects their track record in similar competitions, though the 31% probability assigned to Chinggis Warriors suggests meaningful uncertainty about match outcome. Comparable upper bracket semifinals in Asian esports leagues typically see favourites priced between 60–75% when facing mid-tier regional challengers, placing this market within expected ranges.
Traders should monitor official Asian Champions League communications for any schedule adjustments or roster changes prior to the settlement window closing on 12 May at 09:00 UTC. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches creates a technical consideration: if the fixture is postponed beyond 18 May without completion, the market resolves to 50-50 regardless of eventual outcome. Recent tournament announcements and team practice schedules may signal preparation levels or potential disruptions. Equipment issues, visa complications, or broadcast scheduling conflicts have previously affected regional esports fixtures and warrant attention.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/cispapa. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10K in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $10K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/cispapa. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: