Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between HyperSpirit and against All authority in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 3 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "HyperSpirit" if HyperSpirit win the match against against All authority. This market will resolve to "against All authority" if against All authority win the match against HyperSpirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: HS (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
HyperSpirit face against All authority in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage, scheduled for 3 May at 10:00 AM ET. The fixture forms part of the tournament's opening round-robin phase, where both teams compete for positioning and qualification points. Settlement occurs at 17:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with a seven-day grace period for delayed matches before resolution defaults to 50-50.
The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty about the outcome. Early-stage esports tournaments typically see sparse liquidity in group-stage matches, particularly involving lesser-known rosters or regional European teams. Historical patterns suggest such markets often remain illiquid until closer to match time, when team lineups are confirmed and recent form becomes clearer. Comparable group-stage fixtures in regional CS tournaments have seen probability shifts of 20–40 percentage points in the 48 hours before play.
Traders should monitor team roster announcements and recent LAN results from both squads, as lineup changes or player substitutions frequently occur in European qualifying events. The BC Game Masters series schedule and any official postponement notices will be critical catalysts. Additionally, head-to-head records between these teams, if available, and their performance in prior BC Game Masters editions would inform expected win rates. Fixture delays beyond the seven-day window represent a material risk given the tournament's regional scope and potential scheduling conflicts.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemastersC. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs against All authority (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group " are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemastersC. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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