Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Heroic and Lynn Vision in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 2 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Lynn Vision. This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win the match against Heroic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Heroic and Lynn Vision are scheduled to meet in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match during Round 2 of the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 on 2 June at 11:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Heroic, suggesting the market is pricing Lynn Vision as the overwhelming favourite. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team holds a decisive head-to-head record, significant ranking differential, or recent form advantage that traders view as near-certain.
Heroic, a Danish organisation, has historically competed at the upper tier of professional Counter-Strike, though roster changes and inconsistent performances in 2025 have affected their standing. Lynn Vision, the Chinese representative, qualified for this Major stage and would represent a substantial upset if they defeated Heroic. The 0% probability assigned to Heroic suggests traders are discounting their chances entirely, which warrants scrutiny—such extreme valuations occasionally reflect incomplete information about player availability, recent scrim results, or map pool matchups rather than true competitive certainty.
Traders should monitor official ESL announcements regarding any roster confirmations, last-minute substitutions, or schedule changes in the 48 hours before the match. Map selection, typically revealed shortly before play, could shift expectations if either team holds pronounced advantages on the chosen pool. Any withdrawal or postponement beyond the 7-day window would trigger a 50-50 resolution, though the settlement window closes 2 June at 21:30 UTC, allowing minimal margin for delays.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/eslcsb. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$271K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $271K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/eslcsb. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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