Esports

Trade: Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Falcons Force (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 Ares and Falcons Force in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 13 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against Falcons Force. This market will resolve to "Falcons Force" if Falcons Force win the match against G2 Ares. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$6K
Total Volume
$653
24h Volume
$653
Open Interest
$570
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Match Winner 100% YES0% NO
Odd/Even Total Kills 50% YES49% NO
Odd/Even Total Rounds 50% YES50% NO

Market context

G2 Ares face Falcons Force in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, scheduled for 13 May 2026 at 11:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for G2 Ares, indicating near-complete certainty among traders that the French-led roster will secure victory. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when liquidity remains thin, allowing marginal positions to skew the market sharply.

G2 Ares operates within the broader context of G2 Esports' established Counter-Strike infrastructure and roster depth, whilst Falcons Force remains a comparatively lesser-known entity in European competitive play. Historical precedent suggests that matches between tier-one organisations and emerging challengers in ESEA Advanced often favour the established side, though upsets do occur in single-elimination formats where preparation and map selection create variance. The 100% probability warrants scrutiny; such extremes typically reflect either genuine skill disparity or insufficient market depth rather than absolute certainty.

Traders should monitor fixture confirmations and any last-minute roster changes through ESEA's official announcements and team social channels in the days preceding the match. Technical delays, server issues, or unexpected withdrawals could trigger the 50-50 tie-resolution clause. Map selection and recent scrim results, where available through esports news outlets, may provide early signals of competitive readiness that could justify rebalancing from the current extreme position.

Wikipedia Context

  • Counter-Strike (video game)
    Counter-Strike (video game)

    Counter-Strike is a 2000 tactical first-person shooter game developed by Valve Corporation and published by Sierra Studios. It is the first installment in the Counter-Strike series.

  • Counter-Strike Major Championships
    Counter-Strike Major Championships

    Counter-Strike Major Championships, commonly known as the Majors, are Counter-Strike (CS) esports tournaments sponsored by Valve, the game's developer. The first Valve-recognized Major took place in 2013 in Jönköping, Sweden and was hosted by DreamHack with a total prize pool of US$250,000 split among 16 teams. This, along with the following 19 Majors, was p

  • Counter-Strike: Global Offensive
    Counter-Strike: Global Offensive

    Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO) is a multiplayer tactical first-person shooter developed by Valve and Hidden Path Entertainment. It is the fourth game in the Counter-Strike series. Developed for over two years, Global Offensive was released for OS X, PlayStation 3, Windows, and Xbox 360 in August 2012, and for Linux in 2014. In December 2018, Valve

  • Counter-Strike 2
    Counter-Strike 2

    Counter-Strike 2 is a 2023 free-to-play first-person shooter video game developed and published by Valve. It is the fifth main entry in the Counter-Strike series, produced as an updated version of the previous entry, Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (2012). As with its predecessor, the game pits two opposing teams, the Counter-Terrorists and the Terrorists,

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/misterhenrybatt. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Falcons Force (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$653 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $653 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/misterhenrybatt. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Falcons Force (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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