Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Fortress and L.820 in the Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fortress" if Fortress win the match against L.820. This market will resolve to "L.820" if L.820 win the match against Fortress. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FOR (-1.5) vs L.820 (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Fortress and L.820 are scheduled to contest a Counter-Strike best-of-three match in the Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage on 1 June at 11:00 AM ET, with settlement closing at 21:00 UTC the same day. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at current price levels or strong consensus positioning. Given the ten-hour window between match start and settlement deadline, execution risk exists if the match extends into overtime or faces technical delays common in regional Danish esports fixtures.
Fortress and L.820 operate within Denmark's competitive Counter-Strike ecosystem, where group stage matches typically conclude within two to three hours. Historical precedent from Dust2.dk Ligaen suggests cancellations are rare once matches begin, though forfeits due to player unavailability or equipment failure have occurred in previous seasons. The current zero probability may reflect either a lack of backing for L.820 at any price or traders waiting for pre-match roster confirmations and odds movement from external sportsbooks.
Traders should monitor official Dust2.dk announcements for roster changes, scheduling confirmations, or venue disruptions in the 48 hours preceding the fixture. Recent Danish esports coverage has emphasised fixture reliability, though internet infrastructure issues affecting online qualifiers remain a documented risk factor. The settlement mechanism's 50-50 resolution for cancellations or delays beyond seven days creates asymmetric payoff structures if match postponement becomes likely.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/dust2tv. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Fortress vs L.820 (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/dust2tv. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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