Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 2 match between ENRAGE and Wingman in the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 1 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "ENRAGE" if ENRAGE win the match against Wingman. This market will resolve to "Wingman" if Wingman win the match against ENRAGE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: ENRAGE (-1.5) vs Wingman (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
ENRAGE and Wingman are scheduled to compete in the upper bracket round two of the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs on 1 June at 1:30PM ET, playing a best-of-three series. The winner advances further into the playoffs whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price level, with the crowd-implied probability reflecting no meaningful trading activity or consensus formation around either team's chances.
The 0% YES probability displayed on the order book typically emerges when no traders have yet committed capital to either side, leaving the market in an uninitialised state rather than reflecting genuine confidence in Wingman. Historical patterns in esports prediction markets show that early-stage matches in regional qualifiers often see delayed trading activity until closer to match day, particularly when teams lack significant sponsorship visibility or prior head-to-head records that would anchor trader expectations.
Key variables affecting settlement include confirmation of both teams' roster stability and any last-minute scheduling changes, given that ESEA Advanced Europe operates on compressed timelines during playoff phases. Traders should monitor ESEA's official announcements and team social media for any withdrawal notices, which would trigger the 50-50 tie-resolution clause. The settlement window closes on 3 June at 00:50 UTC, allowing a narrow window for delayed matches to still resolve with a winner before automatic tie resolution activates.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/GoYareGo. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: ENRAGE vs Wingman (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/GoYareGo. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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