Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between CYBERSHOKE Prospects and BIG EQUIPA in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Prospects" if CYBERSHOKE Prospects win the match against BIG EQUIPA. This market will resolve to "BIG EQUIPA" if BIG EQUIPA win the match against CYBERSHOKE Prospects. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 89% YES | 12% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
CYBERSHOKE Prospects face BIG EQUIPA in a best-of-one match within ESEA Advanced Europe's regular season, scheduled for 14 May at 16:00 UTC. The 89% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects strong market confidence in CYBERSHOKE Prospects' victory. This probability has formed through active trading on the platform, with the current spread between backing and laying positions establishing the consensus expectation.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a competitive tier below the professional circuit, hosting rosters with mixed experience levels. Historical outcomes in this division show considerable variance; teams fielding academy or prospect lineups—as CYBERSHOKE Prospects' designation suggests—have produced both dominant performances and surprising upsets depending on opponent composition and preparation. BIG EQUIPA's recent form and roster stability relative to CYBERSHOKE Prospects' development squad would typically justify the substantial probability gap, though single-map formats introduce higher volatility than best-of-three series.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions prior to the 14 May fixture, as lineup changes materially affect map-specific matchups and utility execution. Schedule adherence matters given the seven-day resolution window; delays beyond this threshold trigger a 50-50 settlement regardless of eventual outcome. Technical issues or server problems that prevent match completion also invoke the tie resolution clause. Current market pricing assumes the match proceeds as scheduled with confirmed rosters.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs BIG EQUIPA (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$230 in lifetime turnover and $187 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $230 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: