Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between CYBERSHOKE Esports and Lavked in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 2 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Esports" if CYBERSHOKE Esports win the match against Lavked. This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win the match against CYBERSHOKE Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
CYBERSHOKE Esports and Lavked are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage on 2 May at 10:00 AM ET. The fixture represents a Round 3 group stage encounter where both teams will vie for positioning within the tournament structure. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an even split at 50% implied probability for either side, suggesting traders perceive this as a genuine toss-up based on available information about team form and recent performances.
European Counter-Strike group stage matches at this tier typically see competitive outcomes when squads are relatively evenly matched in ranking and recent results. Historical precedent from similar regional qualifiers shows that 50-50 probabilities often persist when neither team has demonstrated clear dominance in pre-tournament preparation or when recent head-to-head records are sparse. The absence of strong public sentiment favouring either CYBERSHOKE or Lavked has allowed the market to settle at equilibrium, with traders unable to identify a decisive edge.
Key variables for market movement include official confirmation of player rosters and any last-minute roster changes, which could shift perception of either team's competitive strength. Traders should monitor the BC Game Masters official channels and relevant esports news outlets for announcements regarding team composition or scheduling adjustments. The seven-day delay clause creates settlement risk if technical issues or unforeseen circumstances prevent match completion, though such occurrences remain relatively uncommon in established tournament structures.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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