Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between BESTIA Academy and METANOIA WOLVES in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA Academy" if BESTIA Academy win the match against METANOIA WOLVES. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES win the match against BESTIA Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: MW (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
BESTIA Academy and METANOIA WOLVES are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the BetBoom Storm Group Stage on 13 May at 4:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to BESTIA Academy winning, reflecting either extreme confidence in METANOIA WOLVES or minimal trading activity establishing a price discovery mechanism at this early stage. With the settlement window closing 14 May at 02:10 UTC, traders have roughly 22 hours post-scheduled match time for resolution.
The 0% implied probability warrants scrutiny given that academy-tier teams often face unpredictable outcomes against established rosters. BESTIA Academy represents Argentina's developmental Counter-Strike scene, whilst METANOIA WOLVES' competitive standing and recent form require verification against public match records and tournament seeding data. Historical precedent suggests academy teams occasionally produce upsets in group-stage formats where preparation variance is high and single matches determine advancement stakes.
Key catalysts include official tournament bracket confirmation, last-minute roster changes or stand-in announcements, and server or scheduling disruptions. The BetBoom Storm event structure and whether this constitutes a qualifying round or exhibition match will influence team preparation intensity. Traders should monitor the official BetBoom or ESL channels for any postponement notices, as the seven-day delay clause triggers a 50-50 resolution. Current zero pricing may reflect information asymmetry rather than genuine certainty.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15K in lifetime turnover and $3 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $15K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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