Trade: Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs against All authority (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between AaB Esport and against All authority in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 4 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "AaB Esport" if AaB Esport win the match against against All authority. This market will resolve to "against All authority" if against All authority win the match against AaB Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- —
- Total Volume
- $42K
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $19K
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: AAB (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
AaB Esport will face against All authority in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage, scheduled for 4 May at 7:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for AaB Esport, indicating the market has priced this fixture as a near-certain outcome for the Danish organisation. This extreme probability warrants scrutiny given the typical volatility in competitive Counter-Strike, where upsets and roster changes frequently reshape expectations.
The 100% pricing suggests either substantial pre-match intelligence regarding team form or a thin liquidity environment where minimal trading volume has established the current price. Historical precedent in European Counter-Strike group stages shows that favourites with implied probabilities above 95% frequently face execution risk, particularly in best-of-three formats where a single map loss can shift momentum. Against All authority's recent competitive history and roster composition should be cross-referenced against AaB's current lineup and recent scrim results to assess whether the probability reflects genuine capability gaps or market inefficiency.
Traders should monitor announcements regarding player availability, stand-in usage, or last-minute roster changes through to the 4 May settlement window. The seven-day delay clause presents material risk; fixture postponements in European esports tournaments are not uncommon due to scheduling conflicts or technical issues. Any official communication from BC Game Masters or the teams' social channels regarding match status will be critical catalysts affecting resolution certainty.
Wikipedia Context
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Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgameesports. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs against All authority (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group S" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$42K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgameesports. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs against All authority (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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