Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Vancouver Surge and Boston Breach in the Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier, initially scheduled for May 30 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vancouver Surge" if Vancouver Surge win the match against Boston Breach. This market will resolve to "Boston Breach" if Boston Breach win the match against Vancouver Surge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the NO side at 49%, making this a coinflip market with 3 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most, backed by $14K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| Game Handicap: BOS (-1.5) vs Vancouver Surge (+1.5) | 51% YES | 50% NO |
Vancouver Surge face Boston Breach in a best-of-five Call of Duty League match within the Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier tournament. The fixture is scheduled for 30 May at 6:00PM ET, with settlement occurring by 31 May at 04:00 UTC. The 46% implied probability for a Surge victory reflects current order book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing Boston Breach as slight favourites at approximately 54%.
Both franchises have demonstrated inconsistent form throughout the 2026 CDL season. Vancouver has struggled with roster stability and map pool adaptability, whilst Boston has shown stronger fundamentals in respawn modes but remains vulnerable in Search and Destroy. Historical matchups between these teams provide limited predictive value given the rapid evolution of competitive Call of Duty meta and frequent roster adjustments. The current probability suggests traders view Boston's recent tournament placements and map vetoes as marginal advantages, though the gap remains narrow enough to indicate genuine uncertainty.
Key catalysts include any last-minute roster changes or player availability announcements prior to 30 May, which could shift the probability materially. Schedule delays or technical issues affecting either team's preparation represent tail risks that could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Traders should monitor CDL official communications and team social media for injury reports or substitution notices, as these have historically moved markets in esports qualifiers where depth rosters vary significantly between organisations.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 31 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Q", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($14K of resting liquidity), a $100 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers " are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $14K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Q", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: