Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Paris Gentle Mates and Miami Heretics in the Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, initially scheduled for May 10 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Paris Gentle Mates" if Paris Gentle Mates win the match against Miami Heretics. This market will resolve to "Miami Heretics" if Miami Heretics win the match against Paris Gentle Mates. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: PAR (-1.5) vs Miami Heretics (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Paris Gentle Mates will face Miami Heretics in a best-of-five match within the Call of Duty League's Stage 3 Major Qualifiers bracket. The fixture is scheduled for 10 May at 3:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring by 11 May at 01:15 UTC. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity or a technical absence of liquidity at current pricing, rather than certainty regarding the outcome.
Both franchises operate within the CDL's competitive structure, though their recent form and roster stability differ materially. Miami Heretics have maintained relatively consistent squad composition through the 2024 season, whilst Paris Gentle Mates underwent mid-season adjustments that affected their competitive trajectory. Historical CDL matchups between these organisations show competitive variance, with outcomes dependent on map pool suitability, player form consistency, and tactical adaptation during series play. The current zero probability likely reflects insufficient order book depth rather than analytical consensus.
Traders should monitor official CDL scheduling confirmations, any last-minute roster changes or player availability announcements, and pre-match scrim results circulating within competitive Call of Duty communities. Fixture delays beyond the seven-day window would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating settlement risk. The match timing during a qualifier stage carries elevated competitive intensity, as both teams compete for Major event qualification. Liquidity formation on this market will depend on whether trading activity emerges as match day approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifi" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$17K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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