Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Call of Duty Upper bracket final match between Huntsmen and Project Notorious in the Call of Duty Challengers North America Elite Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 6 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Huntsmen" if Huntsmen win the match against Project Notorious. This market will resolve to "Project Notorious" if Project Notorious win the match against Huntsmen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: PN (-1.5) vs Huntsmen (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Call of Duty Challengers North America Elite Stage 3 Playoffs features an upper bracket final between Chicago Huntsmen and Project Notorious, scheduled for 6 May at 8:00 PM ET. The match is a best-of-five series that will determine which team advances to the final stage. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects a 100% implied probability for Huntsmen, indicating the market has priced them as near-certain favourites. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when information asymmetries favour one outcome heavily.
Huntsmen's positioning at this probability level warrants contextualisation against comparable Challengers fixtures. Historically, upper bracket finals in Call of Duty Challengers feature competitive matchups where the favourite rarely exceeds 85-90% implied probability unless facing a significantly lower-seeded opponent. Project Notorious's presence in an upper bracket final suggests they have demonstrated competitive capability throughout the tournament, making a 100% probability unusual for a best-of-five format where variance and individual map performance create genuine upset potential.
Traders should monitor schedule confirmations and any roster changes announced before the settlement window closes on 7 May at 06:10 UTC. Recent esports scheduling disruptions have occasionally delayed matches beyond the seven-day threshold, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Additionally, watch for any official announcements regarding player availability or technical issues that could affect match execution. The extreme probability currently displayed on the order book may present value opportunities if Project Notorious demonstrates stronger-than-expected performance during pre-match analysis or if external factors create uncertainty.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kwm8_aLiYQc. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Call of Duty: Huntsmen vs Project Notorious (BO5) - Call of Duty Challengers North America Elite Sta" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$336 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kwm8_aLiYQc. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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