Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 5.5 games are played during the 2026 NHL Playoffs Second Round series between the Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Wild Total Games O/U 5.5 | 65% YES | 35% NO |
The 2026 NHL Playoffs Second Round matchup between Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild will determine whether their series extends beyond six games. Currently trading at 65% implied probability for Over 5.5 games on Polymarket's order book, the market reflects expectations that this pairing will go the distance rather than conclude in five or fewer contests.
Second Round series outcomes in the NHL historically skew towards longer contests when evenly matched teams advance. The Avalanche and Wild have shown competitive parity in recent seasons, with their head-to-head records typically close. Seven-game series occur in roughly 30–35% of playoff matchups between comparably ranked opponents, whilst five-game sweeps remain relatively rare at approximately 10–15% frequency. The current 65% probability for Over 5.5 suggests traders are pricing in above-average series length, positioning this as a competitive affair rather than a dominant performance by either side.
Key variables affecting settlement include roster health status leading into May 2026, playoff fatigue from First Round contests, and goaltending performance—traditionally the differentiator in extended playoff series. The resolution window closes 23 May 2026, though the market includes provisions for partial series completion through 31 May. Any significant injury announcements to star players on either roster, or unexpected First Round results that alter momentum, could shift the probability substantially. Traders should monitor official NHL scheduling updates and team injury reports as the playoffs approach, particularly regarding Colorado's depth scoring and Minnesota's defensive stability.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Wild Total Games O/U 5.5" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$88 in lifetime turnover and $457 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for 2026 nhl playoffs contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 65%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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