Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Diane Parry and Lisa Pigato in the Saint-Malo, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diane Parry' if Diane Parry advances against Lisa Pigato. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Pigato' if Lisa Pigato advances against Diane Parry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Saint-Malo: Diane Parry vs Lisa Pigato Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Saint-Malo: Diane Parry vs Lisa Pigato Set 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Saint-Malo: Diane Parry vs Lisa Pigato Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Saint-Malo: Diane Parry vs Lisa Pigato Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Saint-Malo: Diane Parry vs Lisa Pigato Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Saint-Malo: Diane Parry vs Lisa Pigato Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Saint-Malo: Diane Parry vs Lisa Pigato Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Saint-Malo: Diane Parry vs Lisa Pigato Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Diane Parry and Lisa Pigato are scheduled to compete in a first-round match at the Saint-Malo WTA tournament on 28 April 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders view this matchup as genuinely competitive with no clear favourite emerging from available information. Settlement occurs by 5 May 2026, allowing a narrow window for the match to conclude and resolve.
Parry, a French player ranked in the 80s, has shown inconsistent results on clay courts where Saint-Malo is played, with occasional deep runs in lower-tier events offset by early exits against ranked opposition. Pigato, an Italian competitor, similarly competes in the secondary tour circuit with comparable win-loss patterns on clay. Historical precedent suggests matches between players of this ranking band—typically decided by form, surface comfort, and match-specific variables rather than stark talent gaps—often settle near even odds. The 50-50 probability reflects this structural uncertainty rather than genuine indifference from the market.
Traders should monitor official WTA scheduling confirmations and any injury announcements from either player in the weeks preceding 28 April. Recent tournament draws and qualifying results from March and early April 2026 will provide form indicators. Weather conditions at Saint-Malo—particularly wind and court speed—could favour one player's game style. Any withdrawal or schedule disruption beyond 7 days from the match date triggers a 50-50 resolution per market rules, a tail risk worth tracking given the tight settlement window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Saint-Malo: Diane Parry vs Lisa Pigato" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$713 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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