Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Yecong Mo and Yaojie Zeng in the ITF Men Wuning, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yecong Mo' if Yecong Mo advances against Yaojie Zeng. This market will resolve to 'Yaojie Zeng' if Yaojie Zeng advances against Yecong Mo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Yecong Mo vs Yaojie Zeng | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Yecong Mo and Yaojie Zeng are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Wuning tournament on 13 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 71% implied probability that Mo advances, as shown across Polymarket's order book. Settlement occurs by 21 May 2026, allowing an eight-day window for the match to conclude and a winner to be determined.
ITF Men's circuits typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 200, with match completion rates exceeding 95% at established venues. Chinese domestic ITF events have historically maintained reliable scheduling, though weather disruptions and player withdrawals remain standard risk factors. Mo's recent form and head-to-head record against Zeng would inform the baseline probability, though limited public match data between these competitors means the current 71% reflects broader assessments of relative playing strength rather than direct historical precedent.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and player injury announcements through early May, as late withdrawals occasionally shift probabilities sharply. Wuning's venue conditions and surface type may favour one player's style; any official schedule changes or postponements announced before 13 May would trigger repricing. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches reduces the risk of technical resolution disputes, though retirements mid-match could create ambiguity depending on how far play progresses. Real-time updates from ITF official channels and Chinese tennis media will be the primary information sources as the event date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Yecong Mo vs Yaojie Zeng" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $488 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: