Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Garcia Longo and Alexey Dubinin in the ITF Men Bistrita, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 7:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Garcia Longo' if Nicolas Garcia Longo advances against Alexey Dubinin. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Nicolas Garcia Longo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bistrita: Nicolas Garcia Longo vs Alexey Dubinin | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Nicolas Garcia Longo faces Alexey Dubinin in an ITF Men's event at Bistrita, originally scheduled for 3 June 2026. The match is set for 7:15 AM ET, with settlement occurring by 10 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders view the match as certain to proceed and conclude with a definitive winner within the specified timeframe.
ITF Futures matches at this tier typically proceed as scheduled absent extraordinary circumstances. Both players compete regularly on the ITF circuit, where completion rates exceed 95% for scheduled fixtures. The 100% probability reading indicates the market is pricing minimal risk of cancellation, withdrawal, or scheduling delays beyond the seven-day buffer. Historical patterns for lower-ranked ITF events show that weather disruptions or player injury withdrawals occur in roughly 3–5% of cases, yet the current order book suggests traders are discounting these scenarios substantially.
The critical catalyst remains the match itself on 3 June. Traders should monitor ITF Bistrita's official draw confirmations and any player injury announcements in the days preceding the fixture. Venue conditions and weather forecasts for Bistrita in early June will become relevant closer to the date. The settlement window extends to 10 June, providing a seven-day grace period for rescheduling if necessary. Any announcement of withdrawal or force majeure would immediately shift the probability structure; currently, the market reflects confidence in standard fixture completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bistrita: Nicolas Garcia Longo vs Alexey Dubinin" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$81 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $81 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: