Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski and Grigory Shebekin in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski' if Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski advances against Grigory Shebekin. This market will resolve to 'Grigory Shebekin' if Grigory Shebekin advances against Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Grigory Shebekin | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski, a Polish professional tennis player, faces Grigory Shebekin of Russia in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 30 May 2026 at the Tsaghkadzor venue in Armenia. The match represents a lower-tier professional competition within the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability for Lechno-Wasiutynski's advancement, suggesting either significant disparity in player rankings or substantial backing from traders with conviction on the Polish player's prospects.
ITF Men's matches at this level typically feature considerable volatility in outcomes, particularly when players are ranked outside the ATP top 500. Historical resolution patterns on comparable ITF fixtures show that extreme probabilities (above 95%) often reflect incomplete market information rather than genuine certainty. Shebekin's recent tournament results and head-to-head record against Lechno-Wasiutynski would provide crucial context for assessing whether the current pricing reflects genuine form differential or market inefficiency. The settlement window extends to 6 June 2026, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for match completion.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any venue-related disruptions affecting Armenian-based competitions. Weather conditions in Tsaghkadzor during late May could impact scheduling. Recent player injury announcements or withdrawal patterns from either competitor would materially shift the probability landscape. The extreme current pricing leaves minimal margin for traders seeking value on either outcome, with resolution risk concentrated on match cancellation or scheduling delays beyond the seven-day threshold.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Grigory Shebekin" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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