Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Estevez and Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida in the ITF Men Cuiaba, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Estevez' if Juan Estevez advances against Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida. This market will resolve to 'Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida' if Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida advances against Juan Estevez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Cuiaba: Juan Estevez vs Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Juan Estevez faces Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida in an ITF Men's event in Cuiabá, scheduled for 2 June 2026. The match forms part of the lower-tier professional tennis circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. Settlement occurs on 9 June, allowing a seven-day window for completion; matches extending beyond this period without resolution trigger a 50-50 split.
The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty of outcome. ITF-level matches typically attract sparse liquidity given their lower profile compared to ATP or challenger events. Historical patterns show such markets often remain thin until closer to event dates, when player availability confirmations and recent form data crystallise trader positioning. Comparable ITF markets have shifted substantially once scheduling confirmations arrive or injury reports emerge.
Key catalysts include official ITF tournament draws and any withdrawal announcements in the fortnight preceding the match. Weather disruptions in Cuiabá could delay proceedings, whilst player illness or injury could force cancellations. Recent ATP or ITF results from either player in May 2026 would provide form indicators. Traders should monitor the official ITF website and player social media for late withdrawals, as ITF events see higher cancellation rates than higher-tier competitions. The settlement window's seven-day buffer creates resolution risk if matches are postponed without completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Cuiaba: Juan Estevez vs Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$766 in lifetime turnover and $316K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $766 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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