Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Angela Fita Boluda and Kayla Day in the ITF Women Tauste-Zaragoza, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Angela Fita Boluda' if Angela Fita Boluda advances against Kayla Day. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Day' if Kayla Day advances against Angela Fita Boluda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Angela Fita Boluda vs Kayla Day | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Angela Fita Boluda, a Spanish ITF competitor, faces American player Kayla Day in the ITF Women's tournament at Tauste-Zaragoza on 29 May 2026. The match is scheduled for 4:30 AM ET, part of the lower-tier professional women's tennis circuit where both players typically compete. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a Fita Boluda victory, suggesting either extremely low confidence in her chances or minimal trading activity at present. With the settlement window closing 7 June 2026, there remains approximately one week for the match to conclude and resolve.
ITF matches at this level often reflect significant disparities in player ranking and recent form. Fita Boluda competes primarily on the Spanish ITF circuit, whilst Day has shown greater international mobility. The 0% implied probability indicates traders are pricing in either a strong expectation of Day's victory or uncertainty about match completion itself—ITF scheduling can be subject to delays, weather disruptions, or cancellations that would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. The early morning scheduling (4:30 AM ET) may also reflect European tournament timing rather than American convenience.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament updates and player withdrawal announcements in the days preceding 29 May. Recent form data, surface preference on clay courts at Tauste, and any late injury reports would shift the current extreme probability. The lack of current liquidity in the orderbook means early position-taking could face slippage once other traders engage with the market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Angela Fita Boluda vs Kayla Day" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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