Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Asylzhan Arystanbekova and Deniz Dilek in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Asylzhan Arystanbekova' if Asylzhan Arystanbekova advances against Deniz Dilek. This market will resolve to 'Deniz Dilek' if Deniz Dilek advances against Asylzhan Arystanbekova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Deniz Dilek | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Asylzhan Arystanbekova of Kazakhstan faces Deniz Dilek of Turkey in a Women's ITF tournament match scheduled for 29 May 2026 in Kayseri. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Arystanbekova's advancement, indicating traders are pricing in either a decisive Dilek victory or material uncertainty around match execution. The settlement window closes 7 June 2026, allowing a one-week buffer for delayed or rescheduled fixtures before resolution defaults to 50-50.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier typically feature players ranked between 400–800 on the WTA scale, with outcomes heavily influenced by recent form, surface adaptation, and head-to-head records. Arystanbekova's current ranking and recent tournament results will determine whether the 0% probability reflects genuine competitive disadvantage or market illiquidity. Comparable lower-tier ITF matches often see significant repricing once draw confirmations and player fitness updates emerge closer to the event date.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament draw confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 29 May. Kayseri's clay surface conditions and weather forecasts will influence match scheduling. Recent ITF tournament reports and the WTA ranking updates through May 2026 will provide concrete data on both players' current competitive standing. Any schedule delays beyond the seven-day window would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, creating tail-risk exposure for positions taken at extreme probability levels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Deniz Dilek" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$383 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: