Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Royer and Marco Cecchinato in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Marco Cecchinato. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Valentin Royer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 77% YES | 23% NO |
| Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 Winner | 62% YES | 39% NO |
| Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato Match O/U 21.5 | 54% YES | 46% NO |
Valentin Royer and Marco Cecchinato are scheduled to meet in the Perugia tournament on 3 June 2026. The match is set for 04:00 ET, with settlement occurring by 8 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 67% implied probability for Royer's advancement, suggesting the market views him as the favoured player in this encounter. This probability is being formed by active traders pricing the match across the platform's liquidity pools.
Royer, a French player ranked outside the top 100, has shown inconsistent results on the ATP Challenger circuit, whilst Cecchinato, an Italian competitor with previous ATP main draw experience, brings greater tour-level exposure and ranking history. Comparable matchups between lower-ranked challengers and former ATP players at regional tournaments typically favour the player with established tour credentials, though surface conditions and recent form can shift outcomes significantly. The 67% probability suggests the market is pricing Royer as a slight favourite, possibly reflecting recent tournament performance or head-to-head records not immediately apparent from ranking alone.
Traders should monitor official tournament draws and any withdrawal announcements from either player, as the Perugia event draws regional European talent and scheduling can shift. Recent form updates from both players' preceding matches will be critical; any injury concerns or unexpected losses in qualifying rounds could trigger repricing. The early morning ET start time may also affect liquidity and pricing precision on Polymarket as European morning matches sometimes see lower trading volume from US-based traders.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $57K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $7K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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