Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Gen.G's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Gen.G Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Gen.G) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Kiin, Canyon, Chovy, Ruler, and Duro. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will Gen.G make a roster change before July? | 48% YES | 53% NO |
Gen.G's League of Legends roster will remain static or experience personnel changes between now and 30 June 2026. The current squad—Kiin, Canyon, Chovy, Ruler, and Duro—represents one of the region's most established lineups. The market's 46% implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty about whether the organisation will make adjustments during this seven-month window, with the order book currently pricing roster stability as slightly favourable.
Historical precedent suggests Gen.G tends toward roster continuity when competitive performance justifies it. The organisation maintained its core five-player unit throughout 2024 and into 2025 despite regional competition, though mid-season adjustments have occurred in previous years when performance dipped. Korean League of Legends organisations typically make roster moves either pre-season (November-December) or around the mid-season transfer window (May-June), meaning the settlement period captures both conventional windows. The current probability reflects this seasonal pattern—traders are essentially weighing whether Gen.G's performance trajectory warrants intervention.
Key catalysts include Gen.G's standing in the 2026 LCK regular season and their performance heading into playoffs. Significant underperformance or injury to core players would increase pressure for changes. The mid-season transfer window in May represents the most likely moment for roster adjustments, with any official announcements requiring verification against the Liquipedia active roster page. Contract expiries and free agency periods in the Korean region typically conclude by late June, making the settlement window's endpoint significant for capturing late-window signings or departures.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Gen.G. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Will Gen.G make a roster change before July?" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $9 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 48%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Gen.G. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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