Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Wednesday, May 27, 2026 between Red Bull Bragantino and Carabobo FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Red Bull Bragantino | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Draw (Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC) | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Carabobo FC | 46% YES | 55% NO |
Red Bull Bragantino will face Carabobo FC in a Copa Sudamericana fixture on 27 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 46% implied probability for a Bragantino victory, suggesting the market views this as a competitive encounter with meaningful uncertainty around the outcome. The settlement window closes at 00:30 UTC on 28 May, allowing roughly 24 hours post-match for resolution.
Bragantino, a Brazilian Serie A club, typically enters Copa Sudamericana fixtures as favourites against Venezuelan opposition, though Carabobo has occasionally produced competitive performances in continental competition. Historical matchups between Brazilian and Venezuelan clubs in this tournament show win rates favouring the Brazilian side by roughly 60–65%, which would imply a higher probability than the current 46%. The relatively compressed odds may reflect uncertainty around team form, squad rotation, or travel fatigue factors specific to this fixture date.
Traders should monitor squad news and injury updates from both clubs in the week preceding the match, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Confirmation of the final team sheets typically arrives 24–48 hours before kickoff. Weather conditions at the venue and any recent domestic league fixtures affecting player availability could shift the probability materially. Copa Sudamericana scheduling occasionally produces fixture congestion that impacts team preparation, a factor worth tracking through official CONMEBOL announcements or club statements closer to the settlement window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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