Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Taawoun Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club, scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club match originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
Al Taawoun and Al Ahli will meet in a Saudi Professional League fixture on 11 May 2026. This exact-score market currently trades at 2% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting the difficulty of predicting a specific final scoreline in professional football. The settlement hinges on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Should the actual score not match any listed outcome, the market resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures the majority of probability mass in such markets.
Exact-score markets in top-tier leagues historically show that no single scoreline commands more than 5–8% probability, with 1–1 and 1–0 results typically the most likely outcomes. The 2% figure here suggests the market is pricing a relatively uncommon result. Al Ahli, historically one of Saudi Arabia's strongest clubs, would be favoured in most matchups, though recent form and squad composition matter considerably. Comparable markets on Polymarket for European league fixtures show similar probability distributions, with the most probable exact scores rarely exceeding single-digit percentages.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. The Saudi Professional League's fixture scheduling and any potential postponements could affect settlement timing. Recent league standings and head-to-head records between these clubs will provide context for expected goal output, though exact scorelines remain inherently difficult to predict. Current odds suggest the market is pricing genuine uncertainty about the match outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $30K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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