Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Al Khaleej Saudi Club and Al Ettifaq Saudi Club.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Al Khaleej and Al Ettifaq will meet in the Saudi Professional League on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating traders are pricing this match with extreme certainty toward a particular result or reflecting deep uncertainty about settlement criteria. With settlement closing at 15:55 UTC on match day, liquidity and pricing will likely remain thin until closer to kickoff, when team news and final odds from regional sportsbooks become available.
Both clubs compete in Saudi Arabia's top division, which has undergone significant investment and restructuring in recent years. Historical matchups between mid-table and lower-tier SPL sides often see volatile pricing on prediction markets, partly because European and North American traders have less granular information on squad rotation, injury status, and managerial decisions in the Saudi league compared to major European competitions. The 0% probability suggests either a technical issue with the market's initialisation or that traders have already settled on an outcome with high confidence.
Traders should monitor official SPL fixture confirmations and any pre-match team sheets released by either club in the week leading to 9 May. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any managerial changes announced by Al Khaleej or Al Ettifaq will influence late positioning. Regional sports outlets covering the SPL, such as Arab News's sports section, typically publish injury reports and tactical previews 48 hours before fixtures. Settlement hinges on the final official result recorded by the Saudi Professional League.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$28K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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