Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for May 16 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| NEOM SC (-1.5) | 13% YES | 88% NO |
| Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5) | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| NEOM SC (-2.5) | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 85% YES | 15% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 26% YES | 74% NO |
Al Hilal and NEOM SC are scheduled to meet in the Saudi Professional League on 16 May 2026 at 14:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability, suggesting traders view the outcome as a genuine toss-up. This equilibrium price indicates balanced positioning between those expecting additional markets to materialise and those betting against further market creation for this fixture.
Historical precedent shows that Saudi Professional League matches typically attract multiple derivative markets on prediction platforms, particularly when involving established clubs like Al Hilal. The frequency of supplementary markets depends on fixture prominence and trader demand for granular betting options. Previous seasons have seen comparable mid-table fixtures generate between two and five additional markets beyond the standard match outcome, though this varies by platform liquidity and the timing of market creation relative to kick-off.
Traders should monitor official Saudi Professional League fixture confirmations and any squad announcements from either club in the weeks preceding the match. Polymarket's order book depth will shift if major injury news emerges or if the league reschedules the fixture. The settlement window closing on 16 May at 18:00 UTC provides a six-hour buffer after scheduled kick-off, allowing time for market resolution. Current positioning at 50% reflects genuine uncertainty about whether additional markets will be created; this probability may drift significantly once the league publishes its final fixture list or if either club announces material team news.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$9 in lifetime turnover and $28K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $9 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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