Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for May 8 at 2:45 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Torino FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Torino FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Torino FC and US Sassuolo Calcio are scheduled to meet in Serie A on 8 May 2026 at 14:45 ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, indicating either minimal liquidity or a market consensus that additional derivative markets for this fixture are unlikely to materialise before settlement on 8 May at 18:45 UTC.
Historical precedent suggests that Polymarket's coverage of Serie A matches expands selectively based on fixture prominence and trader demand. Matches involving top-six clubs typically attract secondary markets within 48 hours of kickoff, whilst fixtures between mid-table sides often remain limited to standard win/draw/loss contracts. Torino's current standing and Sassuolo's recent trajectory will influence whether market operators deem additional betting instruments commercially viable. The zero probability reading reflects either genuine disinterest or illiquidity rather than certainty of non-settlement.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's liquidity dashboard and order book depth in the days preceding the match. Announcements regarding team news, injury updates, or managerial changes could shift perceived fixture significance and trigger demand for additional markets. The settlement window closes roughly three hours after final whistle, allowing only a narrow window for new market creation and trading activity. Current conditions suggest limited institutional or retail appetite for secondary markets on this particular fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaseriea.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$246K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $235K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaseriea.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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