Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Serie A game between Cagliari Calcio and Udinese Calcio, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio match originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Cagliari Calcio will face Udinese Calcio on 9 May 2026 in a Serie A fixture, with settlement based on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the market's assessment that no single scoreline has sufficient backing among traders at this early stage. With the settlement window closing at 13:00 UTC on match day, the book remains thin, meaning the probability distribution across all possible outcomes—from 0–0 through to high-scoring results—remains largely unpriced or held at minimal depth.
Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in Serie A typically see clustering around low-scoring outcomes (0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–1) given the league's defensive emphasis, though mid-table sides like Cagliari and Udinese show greater variance than top-four clubs. Both teams' form trajectories, injury lists, and tactical setups in the weeks preceding the match will be primary drivers of which scorelines attract liquidity. Recent Serie A seasons have shown that May fixtures involving teams outside European qualification contention often feature reduced intensity, potentially favouring tighter scorelines.
Traders should monitor team news releases, official squad announcements, and any fixture rescheduling notices as the match approaches. Udinese's historical tendency toward defensive solidity and Cagliari's home-ground advantage will inform positioning. The thin current order book suggests early movers will face wide spreads; meaningful price discovery typically occurs in the 48–72 hours before kickoff as sharper traders enter with positional views.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaseriea.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$833 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaseriea.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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