Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CD Moquegua and Club Universitario de Deportes, scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Moquegua | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Club Universitario de Deportes | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
CD Moquegua will host Club Universitario de Deportes in Peru's Liga 1 on 23 May 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The halftime result market settles on the outcome after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: a Moquegua win, a draw, or a Universitario victory. The current order book on Polymarket implies a 49% probability for the YES outcome (Moquegua halftime lead), reflecting near-parity between the two sides at the interval stage.
Halftime markets in Peruvian Liga 1 typically show tighter distributions than full-match outcomes, since early-game tactical setups and team composition are more predictable than late-game momentum shifts. Universitario, as Lima's traditional heavyweight, has historically dominated possession and early pressure in away fixtures, though Moquegua's home advantage at altitude (the club is based in the southern highlands) introduces a physical variable that compresses expected scoring rates in the opening period. Recent Liga 1 halftime data suggests draws occur in roughly 35–40% of matches, with home and away halftime leads splitting the remainder fairly evenly depending on team quality gaps.
Key dependencies for traders include confirmed team sheets released 24 hours before kickoff, which will clarify whether either side fields a weakened XI or rotates key personnel. Universitario's fixture congestion in late May—they may have Copa Libertadores commitments—could influence their intensity in the opening 45 minutes. Weather conditions at Moquegua's stadium, typically cool and dry in May, favour teams accustomed to altitude play. Settlement closes at 20:00 UTC on match day.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Moquegua vs. Club Universitario de Deportes - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $46 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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