Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between CA Grau and CS Cienciano.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CA Grau | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (CA Grau vs. CS Cienciano) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CS Cienciano | 100% YES | 0% NO |
CA Grau and CS Cienciano will meet in Peru's Liga 1 on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating either extremely low conviction among traders that this specific condition will resolve affirmatively, or a technical artefact of illiquid pricing at the market's inception. With settlement occurring post-match at 20:15 UTC, the resolution hinges on the precise wording of what constitutes a YES event—whether it concerns match outcome, a specific scoreline, or another measurable condition.
Peruvian Liga 1 fixtures between mid-table and lower-division contenders historically exhibit volatile odds, particularly when one or both sides face injury crises or managerial transitions. Cienciano's recent form and Grau's home-ground advantage (if applicable) would normally anchor expectations; however, the zero probability suggests either the market has priced in an overwhelming favourite outcome for NO, or there remains ambiguity in how traders interpret the settlement criteria.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, including confirmed lineups and any fixture postponements. Peruvian football reporting via outlets such as Depor and Peru21 will carry injury updates and tactical announcements in the days preceding the match. Fixture congestion in the Peruvian calendar—particularly if either side faces a midweek commitment—could affect squad rotation and performance expectations. The order book's current thinness means early liquidity provision may shift prices materially once clarity on the match context solidifies.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CA Grau vs. CS Cienciano" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$30K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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