Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for May 24 at 8:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Lillestrøm SK (-1.5) | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| Lillestrøm SK (-2.5) | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Hamarkameratene (-1.5) | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Hamarkameratene (-2.5) | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Hamarkameratene will host Lillestrøm SK in the Norwegian Eliteserien on 24 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 08:00 ET. This fixture represents a mid-table encounter in Norway's top division, where both clubs typically compete for European qualification spots or consolidation in the upper half of the standings. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing the "More Markets" outcome at 40% implied probability, reflecting moderate conviction amongst traders that additional betting markets will be offered for this specific match.
Historically, Lillestrøm has held a slight edge in head-to-head records against Hamarkameratene, though recent seasons have seen competitive balance shift depending on squad investment and managerial stability. The 40% probability sits below even odds, suggesting traders currently assess a lower likelihood of expanded market offerings compared to baseline expectations for Eliteserien fixtures. This pricing may reflect uncertainty about whether PolyGram's liquidity provisioning will extend to secondary markets for this particular match, given that not all Norwegian league games receive identical market depth.
Traders should monitor team news and injury announcements in the weeks preceding the fixture, as significant absences could influence whether additional derivative markets are created. Fixture congestion in late May—when European qualification playoffs often overlap with league commitments—may also affect market expansion decisions. Historical patterns from previous Eliteserien seasons suggest that matches involving higher-profile clubs or with playoff implications tend to attract more comprehensive market coverage.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.eliteserien.no/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.eliteserien.no/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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